KavkazCenter - Expert: À war between Azerbaijan and Armenia could become a reality

Expert: À war between Azerbaijan and Armenia could become a reality

There is a real menace of a resumption of hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan, a Moscow-defense analyst Pavel Felgenhauer from the Russian paper Novaya Gazeta, Pavel Felgenhauer, said in an interview with RFE/RL.

According to him, "presently, there is a serious threat of a destabilization there. Earlier, neither Baku, nor Yerevan wanted a worsening of the situation. But now everything has changed", claims Felgenhauer.

"The Aliyev's administration has set a serious task and in order to achieve it, it can take a risk and renew hostilities, - the expert noted. Azerbaijan could do it even if hostilities were unsuccessful for it. With such a move, it wants not to return Nagorno-Karabakh but to prevent the ratification of the Armenia-Turkey Protocols.

According to him, the Karabakh conflict could be considered frozen today, however, in his opinion, the Azerbaijani armed forces are unable to ensure a victory for Baku.

"If the Azeris spent their money more efficiently, had a lower level of corruption than in Georgia, the results were probably more obvious.

"However, they spend lots of money today and still are not ready for a new war", he said. "The same way as it is of no use for the Armenians to capture Baku, it is of no use for the Azerbaijanis to seize Nagorno-Karabakh".

Department of Monitoring,

Kavkaz Center